Wednesday 05 April 2000
Research Study Conducted for The London News Network
- MORI interviewed 1,001 London adults aged 18+, registered to vote
- Interviews were conducted by telephone on 2nd-3rd May 2000
- Based on all unless otherwise stated
- Data are weighted to the known population profile
- An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
- Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of London News Network
Voting intention figures are based on all expressing an opinion and exclude those who would not vote, are undecided, or who refused to name a party.
Q1/2 How would you vote if there were a general election tomorrow?
| | % |
|---|
| Conservative | 29 |
| Labour | 55 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 12 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| Referendum Party/UKIP/Democratic | * |
| Other | 2 |
| Would not vote | 6 |
| Undecided | 13 |
| Refused | 4 |
Q3 How likely do you think you will be to get along to vote in the elections for the Mayor of London and Greater Assembly on Thursday/tomorrow?
Will you be…?
| | % |
|---|
| Certain to vote | 50 |
| Very likely to vote | 16 |
| Quite likely to vote | 11 |
| Not very likely to vote | 10 |
| Certain not to vote | 10 |
| Don't
know | 2 |
Q4 Which candidate would be your first choice?
| | All expressing an opinion | All expressing an opinion and certain to vote |
|---|
| | % | % |
|---|
| Steve Norris - Conservative Party | 21 | 23 |
| Frank Dobson - Labour Party | 16 | 14 |
| Susan Kramer - Liberal Democrat (Lib Dem) | 12 | 11 |
| Darren Johnson - Green Party | 2 | 1 |
| Ken Livingstone - Independent | 44 | 46 |
| Geoffrey Ben-Nathan - Pro-MASS | * | 0 |
| Geoffrey Clements - Natural Law Party | * | 0 |
| Balram Gidoomal - Christian People's Alliance | 2 | 2 |
| Damian Hockney - UK Independence Party | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Newland - BNP | 1 | 2 |
| Ashwinkumar Tanna - Independent | * | 1 |
| Would not vote | 5 | 2 |
| Don't know/undecided | 10 | 6 |
| Refused | 3 | 6 |
Q5 And who would your second choice be?
Base: Excluding those not voting at first choice
| | All expressing an opinion | All expressing an opinion and certain to vote |
|---|
| | % | % |
|---|
| Steve Norris - Conservative Party | 13 | 13 |
| Frank Dobson - Labour Party | 19 | 15 |
| Susan Kramer - Liberal Democrat (Lib Dem) | 33 | 36 |
| Darren Johnson - Green Party | 12 | 14 |
| Ken Livingstone - Independent | 16 | 13 |
| Geoffrey Ben-Nathan - Pro-MASS | * | 1 |
| Geoffrey Clements - Natural Law Party | * | * |
| Balram Gidoomal - Christian People's Alliance | 1 | 1 |
| Damian Hockney - UK Independence Party | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Newland - BNP | 1 | 1 |
| Ashwinkumar Tanna - Independent | 1 | 1 |
| Would not vote | 12 | 12 |
| Don't know/undecided | 23 | 20 |
| Refused | 4 | 6 |
Q6 Why do you say you would vote for…as your first choice for Mayor?
Base: All voting for candidate as first choice
| | Frank Dobson | Susan Kramer | Ken Livingstone | Steven Norris |
|---|
| | % | % | % | % |
|---|
| | (123) | (99) | (357) | (179) |
|---|
| The best candidate for the job | 28 | 36 | 32 | 37 |
| The official candidate/always vote for that party | 27 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| Good personality/I like him/her | 10 | 22 | 19 | 7 |
| Don't like the other candidates | 8 | 24 | 5 | 21 |
| Loyal to their party | 8 | 5 | * | 4 |
| Track record/experience | 6 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
| Stands up for London | 6 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
| Policies on transport | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Good/Best policies | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Able to work well with government | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Honest | 2 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| Appeals to all sections of society/people's choice | 2 | 1 | 2 | * |
| So Ken Livingstone doesn't get in | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| It's the only name I know | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Independent | 2 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| Policies on improving London's economy | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Official selection procedure was unfair | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Able to work well with other organisations | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Policies on crime | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Policies on the environment | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Policies on reducing poverty | 0 | 1 | * | 1 |
| Policies on tackling racism | 0 | 0 | 1 | * |
| Because she's a woman | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| To get back at Tony Blair | 0 | 0 | 1 | * |
| Opposed to Labour/Don't like the way Labour treated him | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Other | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Don't know | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Q7 Why do you say you will not vote for Frank Dobson as your first choice?
Base: All who would not vote for Frank Dobson as first choice (878)
| | % |
|---|
| He is a puppet/controlled by the govt | 17 |
| Don't like him/don't trust him | 14 |
| He would not make a good mayor | 10 |
| Never vote Labour | 7 |
| Don't like Tony Blair/the Govt | 7 |
| Prefer Ken Livingstone | 6 |
| Don't agree with his policies | 5 |
| He doesn't want the job | 4 |
| Had a poor record as a minister | 4 |
| To teach Tony Blair/the Govt a lesson | 3 |
| Prefer other candidate | 3 |
| Has run a poor campaign | 3 |
| He is not a Londoner | 2 |
| He has no charisma/personality | 2 |
| Prefer Steven Norris | 1 |
| Prefer Susan Kramer | 1 |
| No chance of winning | 1 |
| Don't like the selection process | 1 |
| Do not know enough about him | 1 |
| Still undecided | 1 |
| Don't like the way Ken Livingstone has been treated | 1 |
| He is too political | 1 |
| Don't like all the bickering | * |
| Other | 4 |
| No reason | * |
| Refused | 1 |
| Don't know | 19 |
Q8 Once the new Mayor of London is elected, what do you think are the two or three most important issues facing London for him or her to deal with?
| | % |
|---|
| Improving Public Transport | 70 |
| Tackling crime | 39 |
| Reducing Traffic Congestion | 19 |
| Improving health services | 14 |
| Improving housing | 12 |
| Improving schools | 11 |
| Improving the environment | 10 |
| Creating more jobs/employment | 5 |
| Tackling immigration/asylum issues | 5 |
| Reducing poverty | 3 |
| Regenerating inner city areas | 3 |
| Tackling racism | 3 |
| More help for pensioners | 3 |
| Helping the Homeless | 3 |
| Improving the arts/leisure facilities | 1 |
| Attracting businesses to London | 1 |
| Standing up for/representing London | 1 |
| Improving planning and development | 1 |
| Tackling drug abuse | 1 |
| Build up good relationship with London Boroughs | 1 |
| Reduce council tax | 1 |
| Road improvements | 1 |
| Better parking | 1 |
| Better facilities for young people/children | 1 |
| Build up good relationship with Greater London Assembly | * |
| Build up good relationship with Central Government | * |
| Cleaning up London | * |
| Begging | * |
| Other | 4 |
| None of these | 3 |
| Don't know | 7 |
Q9 How much, if anything, do you know about what the powers of the new London Mayor will be?
| | % |
|---|
| A great deal | 3 |
| A fair amount | 19 |
| A little | 49 |
| Nothing at all | 27 |
| Don't know | 2 |
Q10 As well as having a vote for the elected Mayor of London, you will also have a vote for members of the new Greater London Assembly.
You will have one vote for an individual member to represent your part of London, and one vote for a party list to express which party you would most like to see run London.
Which party's candidate would you vote for in the election for a representative for your part of London?
Base: All who have answered question (697)
Q11 And how would you vote in the elections for which party should run London?
Base: All who have answered question (697)
| | Q10 | Q11 |
|---|
| | % | % |
|---|
| Conservative | 29 | 29 |
| Labour | 44 | 45 |
| Liberal Democrat | 15 | 15 |
| Green | 3 | 4 |
| British National Party | 1 | 1 |
| Campaign Against Tube Privatisation | 0 | 0 |
| Christian People's Alliance | 1 | * |
| The Communist Party of Great Britain | 0 | 0 |
| London Socialist Alliance | 1 | 1 |
| Natural Law Party | 0 | 0 |
| Pro-MASS | 0 | 0 |
| Socialist Labour Party. Leader Arthur Scargill | 0 | 0 |
| UK Independence Party | 2 | 1 |
| Peter Tatchell | 0 | * |
| Other | 5 | 3 |
| Would not vote | 7 | 5 |
| Undecided | 9 | 10 |
| Refused | 3 | 3 |