Voting Intention in Great Britain (Certain to vote)
Voting Intention in Great Britain
Figures are based on all those absolutely certain to vote.
An asterisk denotes a telephone poll - all other polls are face-to-face
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(Ask those undecided / refused)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008
| 2003 | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | S/WN | Green | DUR | Oth | Lab lead |
| | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ± % |
| Feb-03 |
29 |
41 |
22 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
| Mar-03 |
29 |
43 |
21 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
| Apr-03 |
29 |
43 |
21 |
4 |
1 |
* |
1 |
14 |
| May-03 |
31 |
39 |
22 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
| Jun-03 |
32 |
41 |
19 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
| Jul-03 |
38 |
35 |
21 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-3 |
| Aug-03 |
34 |
36 |
24 |
3 |
1 |
* |
2 |
2 |
| Sep-03 |
31 |
40 |
21 |
3 |
2 |
* |
3 |
9 |
| Oct-03 |
35 |
38 |
21 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| Nov-03 |
35 |
36 |
22 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| Dec-03 |
31 |
40 |
22 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
| 2004 | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | S/WN | Green | UKIP | Oth | Lab lead |
| | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ± % |
| Jan-04 |
35 |
37 |
21 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| Feb-04 |
35 |
36 |
21 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| Mar-04 |
35 |
35 |
23 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
| Apr-04 |
34 |
36 |
22 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| May-04 |
34 |
35 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
| Jun-04 |
31 |
34 |
19 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
| Jul-04 |
31 |
32 |
24 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
| Aug-04 |
32 |
36 |
21 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
| Sep-04 |
33 |
32 |
25 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
-1 |
| Oct-04 |
29 |
39 |
22 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
10 |
| Nov-04 |
31 |
35 |
23 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
| Dec-04 |
30 |
35 |
26 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
| 2005 | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | S/WN | Green | UKIP | Oth | Lab lead |
| | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ± % |
| Jan-05 |
32 |
38 |
22 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
| Feb-05 |
37 |
39 |
18 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| Mar-05 |
37 |
37 |
20 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
| 1-3 Apr-05* |
39 |
34 |
21 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
* |
-5 |
| 7-9 Apr-05* |
33 |
40 |
19 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
+7 |
| 7-11 Apr |
35 |
39 |
21 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
* |
+4 |
| 15-18 Apr-05* |
32 |
40 |
21 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
+8 |
| 18-19 Apr-05* |
32 |
39 |
22 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
| 21-25 Apr-05 |
34 |
36 |
23 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
+2 |
| 28-29 Apr-05* |
33 |
36 |
22 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
+3 |
| 29 Apr-1 May-05* |
29 |
39 |
22 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
+10 |
| GE 5 May-05 |
33 |
36 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
+3 |
| May-05 |
30 |
37 |
26 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
+7 |
| Jun-05 |
29 |
42 |
21 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
+13 |
| Jul-05 |
28 |
41 |
25 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
+13 |
| Aug-05 |
31 |
39 |
24 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
+8 |
| Sep-05 |
29 |
39 |
25 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
+10 |
| Oct-05 |
34 |
40 |
21 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
+6 |
| Nov-05 |
32 |
42 |
19 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
+10 |
| Dec-05* |
40 |
31 |
21 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
* |
-9 |
| 2006 | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | S/WN | Green | UKIP | Oth | Lab lead |
| | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ± % |
| 12-17 Jan-06 |
39 |
39 |
15 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
| 19-23 Jan-06 |
40 |
38 |
17 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
-2 |
| Feb-06 |
35 |
38 |
20 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
+3 |
| Mar-06 |
34 |
39 |
19 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
+5 |
| 20-22 Apr-06 |
30 |
30 |
25 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
0 |
| 27 Apr-2 May-06 |
36 |
32 |
21 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
-4 |
| May-06 |
41 |
31 |
18 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
-10 |
| 8-12 Jun-06 |
41 |
34 |
18 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
-7 |
| 20-26 Jun-06 |
36 |
33 |
21 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
-3 |
| Jul-06 |
36 |
32 |
24 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
-4 |
| Aug-Sep-06 |
35 |
36 |
19 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
+1 |
| Oct-06 |
35 |
37 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
+2 |
| Nov-06 |
35 |
33 |
20 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
-2 |
| Dec-06 |
37 |
36 |
18 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
-1 |
| 2007 | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | S/WN | Green | UKIP | Oth | Lab lead |
| % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ± % |
|
Jan-07
|
39 |
35 |
19 |
3 |
1 |
* |
3 |
-4 |
| Mar-07 |
41 |
33 |
17 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
-8 |
|
Apr-07
|
38 |
31 |
20 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
-7 |
|
May-07
|
37 |
35 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
-2 |
|
Jun-07
|
36 |
39 |
15 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
+3 |
|
Jul-07
|
35 |
41 |
15 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
+6 |
|
Aug-07
|
36 |
41 |
16 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
+5 |
|
8-9 Aug-07*
|
38 |
33 |
15 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
6 |
+5 |
|
Sep-07
|
31 |
44 |
15 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
+13 |
|
20-22 Sep-07*
|
34 |
42 |
14 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
+8 |
|
27-28 Sep-07*
|
34 |
41 |
16 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
+7 |
|
10 Oct-07*
|
41 |
38 |
11 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
-3 |
|
Oct-07
|
40 |
41 |
13 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
+1 |
|
31 Oct – 1 Nov-07*
|
40 |
35 |
13 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
-5 |
|
Dec-07
|
42 |
35 |
14 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
-7 |
| 2008 | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | S/WN | Green | UKIP | Oth | Lab lead |
| % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ± % % |
| 9-10 Jan-08* |
42 |
32 |
15 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
-10 |
|
Jan-08
|
37 |
38 |
16 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
+1 |
| Feb-08 |
39 |
37 |
16 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
-2 |
| 7-9 Mar-08* |
41 |
32 |
15 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
-9 |
| Mar-08 |
40 |
35 |
18 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
-5 |
| Apr-08 |
40 |
31 |
19 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
-9 |
| 15-18 May-08* |
41 |
28 |
20 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
-13 |
| May-08 |
45 |
32 |
14 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
-13 |
| June-08* |
45 |
28 |
16 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
-17 |
| Jul-08* |
47 |
27 |
15 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
-20 |
| Aug-08* |
48 |
24 |
16 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
-24 |
*telephone polls
Click here for new telephone voting intention data