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4 April 2005
Electoral volatility and low turnout are plaguing politicians, pundits and pollsters as the 'real' election is about to begin. With voting day just a month from Thursday, reports of huge differences between one poll and another based on the 'gap' or 'lead' between Labour and the Conservatives disguises small changes between one poll's findings and another. But comparing the same organisation's polls over time, it is clear that public opinion is moving towards the Conservatives.
Politics On The Canvas(s)
3 August 2001
The first question that everybody was asking themselves after the general election result came through was why the turnout was so low. There has been plenty of discussion of the question since, culminating last week in the publication of the Electoral Commission's first report on the election, which among other sources draws on two MORI surveys for the Commission. [Attitudes to Voting and the Political Process]
Low Turnout: Who Loses?
4 May 2001
In last week's column I set out some of the evidence that suggests that the turnout in the forthcoming election may be even lower than in 1997. However, one aspect that I didn't address was the political impact of a low turnout.
Turnout - How Low Might It Go?
27 April 2001
Our poll on the image of the party leaders for The Times this week reveals for the first time in four elections both the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition are viewed predominantly negatively by the British public.
Local Elections Turnout
28 April 2000
Next Thursday will see local government elections being held in most of England, both the high profile contest for London Mayor and the much less heralded contest for more than 3,300 seats on around 150 district and borough councils. Turnout will almost certainly be dire, as it nearly always is these days; last year it was 36% in the shire districts, 31% in the unitary authorities and just 26% in the metropolitan boroughs.