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Sunday Telegraph Week 4 Election Poll

Published:3 June 2001
Fieldwork:31 May - 1 June 2001
Source:The Sunday Telegraph
  • MORI interviewed 1,021 British adults aged 18+
  • Interviews were conducted by telephone between 31 May-1 June 2001
  • Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
  • Data are weighted to the known population profile
  • An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
  • Where percentages do not add up to exactly 100% this may be due to computer rounding, the exclusion of "don't knows" or to multiple answers
  • Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of The Sunday Telegraph

QV1 How do you intend to vote in your constituency at the General Election on June 7th?
[If undecided or refused at QV1]
QV2 Which party are you most inclined to support in your constituency?

Conservative 27%
Labour 50%
Liberal Democrats 17%
SNP 2%
Plaid Cymru 1%
Green Party 1%
Referendum Party/UKIP/Democratic *%
Scottish Socialist Party *%
Other *%

Labour lead over Conservatives +23

Would not vote 5%
Undecided 8%
Refused 5%

General Election 2001 Voting Intention Trends

    Q3 How likely are you to vote at the General Election on June 7?

      %
    Certain to vote 63
    Very likely to vote 15
    Quite likely to vote 10
    Not very likely to vote 5
    Certain not to vote 6
    Don't know 1

    Likelihood of voting trends

      Q4 Have you definitely decided to vote for the [...] party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
      Base: All naming a party (840)

      :
        All Con Lab Lib Dem
        % % % %
      840 236 403 149
      Definitely decided 72 78 73 64
      May change mind 27 22 26 35
      Don't know 1 0 1 1

      Q5 Which of the following comes closest to your reasons for intending to vote for the [...] party?
      Base: All naming a party (840)

      :
        All Con Lab Lib Dem
        % % % %
      840 236 403 149
      It is the party that most represents your views 82 84 88 69
      The party you support has little chance of winning in this constituency so you vote for the Liberal Democrat party to try and keep another party out 10 7 7 25
      Other 4 5 3 4
      No opinion 4 4 2 2

      Q6 And which is the party you support that has little chance of winning in this constituency?
      Base: All voting tactically (87)

        %
      Conservative 20
      Labour 29
      Liberal Democrats 29
      SNP 2
      Plaid Cymru 1
      Green Party 3
      Referendum Party/UKIP/Democratic 4
      Scottish Socialist Party 0
      Other 2
      None/don't know 10

      Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy?
      Base:

        %
      Blair 49
      Hague 16
      Kennedy 12
      Don't know 23

      Q8 In your view, which of the political parties has run the most effective campaign so far?

        %
      Conservative 11
      Labour 37
      Liberal Democrats 19
      Scot/Welsh Nationalists *
      Other 1
      None of these 14
      Don't know 18

      Q9 Looking ahead to the General Election on June 7th, which, if any, issues will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?

        %
      Animal welfare 2
      Asylum/immigration 6
      Defence 1
      Education 39
      Europe 14
      Foot and mouth disease 2
      Health care 50
      Housing 2
      Law & Order 10
      Managing the economy 7
      Northern Ireland *
      Pensions 15
      Protecting the natural environment 3
      Public transport 7
      Taxation 11
      Trade Unions *
      Unemployment 3
      Other 11
      None of these/don't know 11

      Q10-11 Which of these statements comes closest to your view of Mr Blair/Mr Hague

        Mr Blair
      %
      Mr Hague
      %
      I like him and I like his policies 41 17
      I like him but I dislike his policies 20 18
      I dislike him but I like his policies 11 13
      I dislike him and I dislike his policies 18 40
      No opinion 10 12

      Like him 61 35
      Dislike him 29 53
      Net like him +32 -18

      Like his policies 52 30
      Dislike his policies 38 58
      Net like his policies +14 -28

      Q12 If the Conservatives lose the General Election, do you think William Hague should or should not step down as leader of the Conservative Party?

      All (840)
      %
      Con (236)
      %
      Should 51 43
      Should not 34 52
      Don't know 15 5

      Q13 If the Conservatives lose the General Election and William Hague steps down as party leader, which one of the politicians I am going to read out, if any, would you like to see lead the Conservative Party?

      All (840)
      %
      Con (236)
      %
      Kenneth Clarke 17 11
      Iain Duncan Smith 1 2
      David Davis * 1
      Liam Fox 2 3
      Francis Maude 2 4
      Michael Portillo 15 22
      John Redwood 4 8
      Malcolm Rifkind 3 2
      Margaret Thatcher 8 11
      Anne Widdecombe 12 13
      Other 1 2
      None of these 14 6
      Don't know 21 15

      Q14-16 How would you vote at the General Election on June 7, if Michael Portillo/Kenneth Clarke/Anne Widdecombe were leader of the Conservative Party?
      [Which party are you most inclined to support?]

        Portillo
      %
      Clarke
      %
      Widdecombe
      %
      Conservatives 28 28 31
      Labour 50 50 49
      Liberal Democrats 16 16 15
      Other 5 6 5

      Labour lead over Conservatives +22 +22 +18

      Would not vote 7 7 8
      Undecided 7 8 8
      Refused 4 3 3

      As you may know, the Labour Party has had a large lead in the opinion polls throughout the Election campaign.

      Q17-19 Does this make you more likely to vote Conservative/Labour/Liberal Democrats, less likely to vote Conservative/Labour/Liberal Democrat or does it make no difference to you?

        More likely Less likely No difference Don't know
        % % % %
      Conservatives 9 6 85 0
      Labour 8 12 79 1
      Liberal Democrats 11 6 82 1

      Q20 If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should be part of a single European currency, how would you vote?

        %
      In favour of a single currency 29
      Against single currency 60
      Don't know/would not vote 11
      Base: all expressing an opinion (893) %
      In favour of a single currency 33
      Against single currency 67

      Q21 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election, in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so.

      Labour 44%
      Conservative 23%
      Liberal Democrats 9%
      Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2%
      Green Party *%
      Other 1%

      Did not vote 11%
      Too young 3%
      Can't remember 3%
      Refused 3%

      Q22 As far as you know, are you currently registered to vote? IF YES And are you registered to vote in this constituency, or are you registered to vote somewhere else?

        %
      Yes, registered to vote in this constituency 96
      Yes, registered to vote somewhere else 2
      No, not registered to vote 2
      Don't know 0

      Q23 Have you applied for a postal or proxy vote for the General Election, or do you intend to do so?

        %
      Yes, have applied for postal 6
      Yes, have applied for proxy 4
      No, neither 90
      Don't know 0

      Q24 Which one of these best describes the area where you live most of the time?

        %
      In the middle of a city or town 28
      In a suburb 31
      On the edge of the countryside 25
      In the middle of the countryside 16

      Urban 59
      Rural 41
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