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Times Election Poll 1992, Week 4

Published:1 April 1992
Fieldwork:30 March 1992
Sub-Theme:Other Political Trends

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,080 adults aged 18+ at 54 constituency sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face, in street, on 30 March 1992, and the results published in The Times on 1 April 1992. Data were weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on April 9?
(If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

  %
Conservative 35
Labour 43
Liberal Democrats 19
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 2
Other *
(Excludes 12% would not vote, undecided or refused)

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Certain not to vote 7 5 3 1
Not very likely to vote 3 3 2 3
Quite likely to vote 7 7 11 8
Very likely to vote 11 11 7 13
Certain to vote 71 74 76 75
Don't know 1 * 1 0

Q4a If Michael Heseltine were the leader of the Conservative Party instead of John Major, how would you vote in the General Election?
(If undecided or refused at Q4a) Q4b Which party would you be most inclined to support?
Q5a If John Smith were the leader of the Labour Party instead of Neil Kinnock, how would you vote in the General Election?
(If undecided or refused at Q5a) Q5b Which party would you be most inclined to support?
Q6a And if Michael Heseltine were the leader of the Conservative Party and John Smith were leader of the Labour Party, then how would you vote in the General Election?
(If undecided or refused at Q6a) Q6b Which party would you be most inclined to support?

  Heseltine v Kinnock Major v Smith Heseltine v Smith
  % % %
Conservative 37 33 34
Labour 41 49 46
Liberal Democrats 19 16 17
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2 1 1
Green Party 1 1 1
Other * * *
Would not vote/Undecided/Refused 12 11 12

Q7 Which two or three issues will be most important to you in helping you to decide which party to vote for in the general election?
UNPROMPTED ANSWERS

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
AIDS *
Defence 4
Disarmament 1
Drugs 1
Education 36
EC/Common Market 4
Foreign policy generally 1
Health care/NHS 56
Housing 9
Immigration 1
Inflation/prices 8
Interest rates 5
Law & order 6
Leisure amenities/facilities
1
Managing the economy 12
Northern Ireland *
Nuclear power *
Nuclear weapons *
Replacing the poll tax/Council Tax 8
Pollution/the environment 6
Public transport 2
Taxation/tax cuts 15
Trade unions 1
The City/financial scandals *
Unemployment/jobs 23
Voting system/constitutional reform/devolution 2
Other 23
Don't know 6

Q8 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Major, Mr Kinnock or Mr Ashdown?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Major 38
Kinnock 29
Ashdown 21
Don't know 12

Q9 I'm going to read out a list of problems facing Britain today and for each one I would like you to tell me whether the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party has the best policy on each problem.

  Con Lab LD Other None/ don't know
Defence % 48 21 7 1 23
Education % 23 41 19 * 16
Health care % 26 49 11 * 14
Unemployment % 20 46 10 1 23
Law & Order % 40 26 8 * 26
Managing the economy % 36 31 11 1 21
Replacing the poll tax % 22 42 16 1 20
Taxation % 38 33 13 * 16
Trade Unions % 35 38 8 * 19

Q10 In your view, which of the political parties has run the most effective campaign so far?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Conservative 13 26 4 7
Labour 31 17 56 16
Liberal Democrat 28 24 16 65
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1 * 2 0
Green Party 1 * * 0
Other * 0 0 0
None of these 15 18 13 9
Don't know 11 15 9 3

Q11 From what you have heard, do you think the Government's proposals for the NHS will improve the standards of health care, make them worse, or make no difference at all?

  All Those naming NHS/health as an important issue
  % %
Improve 27 22
Make worse 33 42
Make no difference 34 32
No opinion 6 4

Q12 Do you agree or disagree that the NHS is safe in Mr Major's hands?

  All Those naming NHS/health as an important issue
  % %
Agree 38 29
Disagree 53 64
No opinion 9 7

Q13 Do you think that the Conservative Party has plans to privatise the NHS if they win the next General Election, or not?

  All Those naming NHS/health as an important issue
  % %
Yes, do have plans 57 63
No, do not have plans 32 29
No opinion 11 8

Q14 If the Labour Party wins the General Election, do you think they would or would not keep their promise to spend an extra £1bn on the NHS?

  All Those naming NHS/health as an important issue
  % %
Yes, would keep promise 57 63
No, would not keep promise 30 26
Don't know 13 12

Q15 Which of the statements on this card comes closest to your views of the Labour Party's Election Broadcast about a young girl waiting for treatment on the NHS?

  All Those naming NHS/health as an important issue
  % %
It told the truth about the NHS and was an effective broadcast for Labour 23 29
It told the truth about the NHS but was not an effective broadcast for Labour 22 25
It did not tell the truth about the NHS but was an effective broadcast for Labour 12 12
It did not tell the truth about the NHS and was not an effective broadcast for Labour 24 18
None of these 4 4
Don't know
 15  12

Q16 Which, if any, of the following apply to you?

  %
I saw the broadcast in full 30
I saw clips of the broadcast on TV 41
I heard about the broadcast on the radio 14
I read about the broadcast in the newspapers 30
None of these 8

Q17 May I ask you which of the things on this list you have done in the last two or three years?

  %
Presented my views to a local councillor or MP 14
Written a letter to an editor 7
Urged someone outside my family to vote 24
Urged someone to get in touch with a local councillor or MP 18
Made a speech before an organised group 6
Been elected an officer of an organisation or club 8
Stood for public office 1
Taken an active part in a political campaign 3
Helped on fund-raising drives 18
Voted in an election 63
None of these 19

Q18 On balance, do you think that a hung Parliament, with no party having an overall majority, would be good or bad for Britain?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Good for Britain
26 19 25 42
Bad for Britain
56 69 56 44
No opinion/don't know 18 12 19 14

Q19a If you thought the Liberal Democrats were likely to win in this constituency, then how would you vote in the General Election on 9 April?
(If undecided or refused at Q19a) Q19b Which party would you be most inclined to support?

  %
Conservative 28
Labour 32
Liberal Democrats 38
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1
Green Party 1
Other *
(Excludes 10% would not vote, undecided or refused)

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