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Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2008

Published:6 March 2008
Fieldwork:21 - 26 February 2008
Sub-Theme:Political Monitor
Source:Ipsos MORI

Ipsos MORI's February Political Monitor, carried out between 21 and 26 February, shows the Conservatives on 39%, Labour on 37% and the Liberal Democrats on 16%.

The data shows Conservative Leader David Cameron having made gains in his personal satisfaction rating from last month, with equal numbers now satisfied and dissatisfied (35%) with the Tory leader. Prime Minister Gordon Brown's satisfaction rating has dropped however, with 31% of the public currently satisfied and 55% dissatisfied with the way he is doing his job as Prime Minister.

Crime / law & order / antisocial behaviour remains the most important issue facing the country, with half of the public (50%) spontaneously mentioning it when asked. This is followed by concern about race relations / immigration (44%) and the NHS (25%).

Topline Results

  • Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,063 adults aged 18+ at 198 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Interviews were conducted face-to-face on 21-26 February 2008.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
  • Download the data tabulations pdf, 148KB
  • Download the presentation slides pdf, 204KB

Voting — all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,158)

  %
Conservative 39
Labour 37
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 16
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 1
Other 3
 
Lab lead (±%) -2
 
Would not vote 2
Undecided 6
Refused 1

Voting — all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All naming a party (2,063)

  %
Conservative 34
Labour 42
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 15
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 1
Other 3
 
Lab lead (±%) +8
 
Would not vote 12
Undecided 9
Refused 2

Q3 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?
Q4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Brown is doing his job as Prime Minister?
Q5 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Cameron is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party?
Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Nick Clegg is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?

Base: 1,037 British adults 18+

  Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
  % % % ±%
Government (Q3) 29 63 8 -34
Brown (Q4) 31 55 15 -24
Cameron (Q5) 35 35 29 0
Clegg (Q6) 19 22 59 -3

Q3 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?
Q4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Brown is doing his job as Prime Minister?
Q5 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Cameron is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party?
Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Nick Clegg is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?

Base: All party supporters

  Base Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
  n % % % %
Government (Q3) 322 56 37 7 +19
Brown (Q4) 322 58 29 12 +29
Cameron (Q5) 267 62 22 16 +40
Clegg (Q6) 118 46 16 38 +30

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)
Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)

Base: 1,037 British adults 18+

  Q7 Q7/8
  % %
Crime / law & order / violence / vandalism / anti-social (yob) behaviour 21 50
Race relations / immigration / immigrants 28 44
National Health Service / Hospitals / Health care 5 25
Economy / economic situation 7 18
Education / schools 3 17
Defence / foreign affairs / international terrorism 7 16
Housing 4 12
Morality / individual behaviour 2 10
Inflation / prices 2 9
Taxation 2 8
Drug abuse 1 8
Pollution / environment 3 7
Unemployment / factory closure / lack of industry 2 6
Pensions / social security / benefits 1 6
Poverty / inequality 1 5
Low pay / minimum wage / fair wages 1 4
Petrol prices / fuel * 4
Common Market / EU / Europe / EURO 1 3
Local government / council tax 1 3
Public services in general 1 3
Transport / public transport * 3
Animal welfare * 1
Countryside / rural life * 1
Nuclear weapons / nuclear war / disarmament * 1
AIDS 0 1
Pound / exchange rate / value of pound 0 1
Privatisation * *
Bird flu / Flu pandemic 0 *
Foot and mouth outbreak / farming crisis 0 *
GM / GM (Genetically Modified) foods 0 *
Scottish / Welsh Assembly / Devolution Constitutional reform 0 *
Trade unions / strikes 0 *
Northern Ireland 0 0
Other 2 6
Don't know 4 3

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?

Base: 1,037 British adults 18+

  %
Improve 7
Stay the same 33
Get worse 54
Don't know 5
Ipsos MORI EOI -47

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

Base: 2,063 British adults 18+

  %
10 — absolutely certain to vote 55
9 5
8 7
7 5
6 3
5 7
4 1
3 2
2 2
1 — absolutely certain not to vote 9
Don't know 3
Refused *
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